The Drivers of Elevated Inflation and Rising Rates
Inflation remains elevated due to stubborn supply chain bottlenecks, energy shortages, and rising commodity costs. In the U.S., “sticky” components of inflation continue to accelerate, including shelter prices and wages. Given the strength of the economy and the likelihood of persistent inflation, it’s likely that the Fed will tighten monetary policy significantly. Historically, periods of inflationary upturns suggest a higher 10-year Treasury yield.[ 1 ] To counter the prevailing headwinds that are likely to challenge market returns, investors may want to consider the potential benefits of shorter-duration assets, industries with secular growth and thematic investing.